Hello traders, Lately I’ve been watching the oil market very closely, more closely than usual.Over the past few weeks, the IEA revised its 2025 supply forecasts upward. OPEC+ output is rising, non-OPEC producers like the US, Brazil, Guyana, Canada are all increasing production. Demand growth, by contrast, is creeping up more slowly. The gap between …

Hello traders, Last week, the ECB held rates steady at 2%. On the surface, that looks like a non-event. No fireworks, no shock. But in this market, “steady” is anything but boring. Stability from a central bank in 2025 is not passive, it’s a signal. Traders were leaning hard on the idea that cuts might …

Hello traders, The futures market was playing a dangerous game this week, and every tick comes down to one question: how far will Powell go on September 17? The setup looks bullish on the surface, but the cracks in the labor market tell a more complicated story. Weekly jobless claims jumped by 27,000 to 263,000, …

Hello traders, Thursday morning brings futures traders face to face with the most important test of the week. E-mini S&P 500 futures are holding near 6,546, just a breath away from their all-time intraday high of 6,555. Oracle’s $455 billion AI backlog lit the fuse, but today’s CPI print will decide whether momentum extends toward …

Hello traders, Wednesday morning opened with a jolt of momentum for futures traders as Oracle’s blowout contract pipeline sent E-mini S&P 500 futures climbing toward fresh highs. ES is now only a few points shy of its 52-week peak at 6,541.75. The spark? A 27 percent after-hours surge in Oracle stock, fueled not by earnings …

Hello traders, I have a simple rule when the Fed is two breaths away from easing.Let the tape speak first.Today it is whispering one number to you again and again. Six thousand five hundred on the E-mini S&P500. We closed Monday near 6,495 with a calm grind that hides real positioning. Price has tested this …